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Recommendation

Decision summary

Arabba is the strongest match because of strong terrain match · 82/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale, exceptional reliability match · 90/100 — led by strong snow resilience. Bourg Saint Pierre is the strongest alternative. 1 option have limited evidence coverage.

Narrow lead

Arabba

71/100

Why

Arabba is the strongest match because of strong terrain match · 82/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale, exceptional reliability match · 90/100 — led by strong snow resilience. Bourg Saint Pierre is the strongest alternative. 1 option have limited evidence coverage.

Mixed evidenceUpdated 21 h ago

Strong structural fit for the selected priorities (78/100).

AlternativeBourg Saint Pierre

Main uncertaintyMost of the evidence requested by this priority profile is available.

Would change ifA material forecast shift or a different priority profile could change the ranking.

Detailed comparison reasoningEvidence bridge, trade-offs and decision boundaries

Recommended for this profile

Arabba

Large-domain explorerLow-regret choiceNarrow lead

Leads on strong terrain match · 82/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale, exceptional reliability match · 90/100 — led by strong snow resilience.

Why Arabba leads Bourg Saint Pierre Snow now +3.8 pts and Access +3.6 pts

Snow reliability -5.0Snow now +3.8Access +3.6Terrain fit +3.1

Incoming snow and Weather stay in the forecast layer unless current/forecast evidence is explicitly part of the Decision score.

Strongest alternativeBourg Saint Pierre

Main uncertaintyMost of the evidence requested by this priority profile is available.

What could change the resultReduce lift system weight from 14 to 4 and Bourg Saint Pierre becomes the leading option.

Lead margin5.6pts

Difference between the first and second option.

Ranking stabilityHigh100%

The ranking changes little under nearby priority weights. Rank range 1–1.

Evidence confidence75%

Coverage and coherence of evidence used by this comparison.

Advanced analysisSensitivity, Pareto trade-offs and score contributions

Pareto frontier1 option

1 option is dominated on commonly available dimensions.

Explore decision boundaries · what preference change flips the winner?

These are the smallest tested single-dimension changes that produce a different leader. Apply one to inspect that scenario; no new database query is required to calculate the boundary.

Lift systemBourg Saint Pierre

Reduce lift system weight from 14 to 4 and Bourg Saint Pierre becomes the leading option.

14 → 4

AccessBourg Saint Pierre

Increase access weight from 12 to 30 and Bourg Saint Pierre becomes the leading option.

12 → 30

TerrainBourg Saint Pierre

Increase terrain weight from 22 to 97 and Bourg Saint Pierre becomes the leading option.

22 → 97

Why Arabba leads Bourg Saint Pierre · 5.6 pts

Lift system+6.6 pts

Snow-5.0 pts

Terrain-4.7 pts

Current opportunity+3.8 pts

Access+3.6 pts

Family & value+1.6 pts

Point contributions reconcile the structural Fit dimensions and confidence-limited current opportunity. Missing evidence is not treated as zero.

More comparison leadersAdditional category leaders

Resort overview

Trip match is profile-specific. Expand the calculation to see exactly how each score is built.

Arabba

#1 · Arabba Marmolada · Italy

Decision71/100

Fit78/100

Now28/100

Quality9.5/10

Now2885 cm upperReliability9090/100Terrain8282/100Access35136 min

Decision score composition

Fit remains the structural anchor. Current opportunity receives weight only when current evidence is available, covered and fresh; otherwise Decision falls back toward Fit.

Fit78.086% weight Now27.714% weight Decision71.2/100

Structural Fit calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Snow90/100 · 73% evidence 21.6 / 24.0 pts

Terrain82/100 · 80% evidence 18.0 / 22.0 pts

Scale83/100 · 100% evidence 13.2 / 16.0 pts

Lift system83/100 · 68% evidence 11.7 / 14.0 pts

Access35/100 · 68% evidence 4.2 / 12.0 pts

Family & value78/100 · 41% evidence 9.3 / 12.0 pts

Data coverage: 74%

Current-opportunity calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Mountain snow85 cm 12.1 / 42.9 pts

Fresh snow0 cm 0.0 / 22.9 pts

Valley snow90 cm 11.4 / 22.9 pts

Mid-mountain snow87 cm 4.1 / 11.4 pts

Open terrainNo data excluded

Snow qualityNo data excluded

Data coverage: 70%

Destination typeLarge-domain explorerBest useSnow-first trips · 82/100Snow reliabilityExceptionalSki area63 km · 1,823 m verticalTerrain >2,000 m65%Best transfer136 minCurrent dataUpdated for selected datePeer group50–149 km · Top 2,800+ m

Strengths

Strong terrain match · 82/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale..
Exceptional reliability match · 90/100 — led by strong snow resilience..

Consider

Access is a relative compromise.

Bourg Saint Pierre

#2 · Bourg Saint Pierre · Switzerland

Decision66/100

Fit66/100

Now0/100

Quality–/10

Now00 cm freshReliability8787/100Terrain5858/100

Decision score composition

Fit remains the structural anchor. Current opportunity receives weight only when current evidence is available, covered and fresh; otherwise Decision falls back toward Fit.

Fit65.6100% weight Now0.00% weight Decision65.6/100

Structural Fit calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Snow87/100 · 37% evidence 23.7 / 27.3 pts

Terrain81/100 · 44% evidence 20.3 / 25.0 pts

Scale65/100 · 85% evidence 11.8 / 18.2 pts

Lift system22/100 · 8% evidence 3.5 / 15.9 pts

Family & value47/100 · 28% evidence 6.4 / 13.6 pts

AccessNo data excluded

Data coverage: 37%

Current-opportunity calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Fresh snow0 cm 0.0 / 100.0 pts

Mid-mountain snowNo data excluded

Mountain snowNo data excluded

Open terrainNo data excluded

Snow qualityNo data excluded

Valley snowNo data excluded

Data coverage: 16%

Destination typeAdvanced-terrain specialistBest useSnow-first trips · 73/100Snow reliabilityExceptionalSki area25 km · 850 m verticalCurrent dataUpdated for selected datePeer group<50 km · Top 2,800+ m

Strengths

Solid terrain match · 58/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence..
Exceptional reliability match · 87/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence..

Consider

Lift-system evidence is less convincing.

Side-by-side evidence

Detailed comparison

Structural snow resilience uses the multi-winter early/core/late archive after daily de-duplication. Calendar-date rows separately compare current observations with the previous five years. Missing archive evidence remains unknown.

Find column

Scroll horizontally to compare resortsThe attribute column stays visible

Attribute	ArabbaArabba Marmolada	Bourg Saint PierreBourg Saint Pierre
Assessment
Decision score	71/100clear advantage	66/100
Structural Fit	78/100clear advantage	66/100
Current opportunity	28/100clear advantage	0/100
Overall quality	9.5/10	–
Recommendation confidence	Medium	Low
Ski-area profile
Historical snow reliability	81/100	81/100
Typical daytime high	-2°Cclear advantage	4°C
Typical snow/freezing level	–	–
Typical overnight low	-9°Cclear advantage	-5°C
Rating	7.2/10	–
Area size class	50–100 km	20–50 km
Ability profile	advanced	expert
Price class	avg	–
Terrain and altitude
Marked pistes	63 kmclear advantage	25 km
Lowest point	1,446 m	1,950 mclear advantage
Highest point	3,269 mclear advantage	2,800 m
Vertical range	1,823 mclear advantage	850 m
Blue pistes	37%	12%
Red pistes	48%	40%
Black pistes	14%	48%clear advantage
Terrain above 2,000 m	65%	–
Terrain above 3,000 m	3%	–
Piste-mix diversity	91/100	89/100
Slope-angle diversity	61/100	–
Very/extremely steep terrain	10%	–
Historical context
Historical snow resilience	–	–
Typical early-winter mountain depth	–	–
Typical core-winter mountain depth	–	–
Typical late-winter mountain depth	–	–
Snow consistency	–	–
Late-winter retention	–	–
Lower-mountain retention	–	–
Warm-winter resilience	–	–
Mountain snow versus typical	–	–
Valley snow versus typical	–	–
Open slopes versus typical	–	–
Current snow
Valley snow	90 cm	–
Mid-mountain snow	87 cm	–
Mountain snow	85 cm	–
Fresh snow	0 cm	0 cm
Snow quality	–	–
Snow alert	0 cm	0 cm
Open terrain and lifts
Open slopes	–	–
Open lifts	–	–
Lift capacity per piste km	730 pph/km	–
Lift-system coverage	0.50×	–
Terrain per lift	2.6 km/lift	8.3 km/lift
Weather
Minimum temperature	3°C	6°C
Maximum temperature	15°C	15°C
Suitability and facilities
Family suitability	family	–
Piste variety	slopes	–
Off-piste	–	–
Cross-country	–	–
Lift network	lifts	–
Mountain restaurants	restaurants	–
Après-ski	–	–
Public transport	–	–
Best airport transfer	136 min	–
Skiing per transfer hour	28 km/h transfer	–

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Decision summary

Arabba

Arabba

Resort overview

Arabba

Bourg Saint Pierre

Detailed comparison