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Recommendation

Decision summary

Ax les Thermes is the strongest match because of good terrain match · 69/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence, good reliability match · 67/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence. Ascou is the strongest alternative. 3 options have limited evidence coverage.

Recommended

Ax les Thermes

69/100

Why

Ax les Thermes is the strongest match because of good terrain match · 69/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence, good reliability match · 67/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence. Ascou is the strongest alternative. 3 options have limited evidence coverage.

Limited evidenceUpdated 51 min ago

Structural fit score: 69/100.

Evidence coverage is limited; the ranking may move with new observations.

AlternativeAscou

Main uncertaintySome requested evidence is unavailable; the score is rescaled over the evidence that exists.

Would change ifFresh observations or stronger source agreement could materially change the ranking.

Detailed comparison reasoningEvidence bridge, trade-offs and decision boundaries

Recommended for this profile

Ax les Thermes

Family progression baseLow-regret choice

Leads on good terrain match · 69/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence, good reliability match · 67/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence.

Why Ax les Thermes leads Ascou Terrain fit +10.8 pts and Snow reliability +3.2 pts

Terrain fit +10.8Snow reliability +3.2

Incoming snow and Weather stay in the forecast layer unless current/forecast evidence is explicitly part of the Decision score.

Strongest alternativeAscou

Main uncertaintySome requested evidence is unavailable; the score is rescaled over the evidence that exists.

What could change the resultThe recommendation remains first under the tested nearby priority shifts in the available evidence.

Lead margin14.3pts

Difference between the first and second option.

Ranking stabilityHigh100%

The ranking changes little under nearby priority weights. Rank range 1–1.

Evidence confidence57%

Coverage and coherence of evidence used by this comparison.

Advanced analysisSensitivity, Pareto trade-offs and score contributions

Pareto frontier1 option

1 option is dominated on commonly available dimensions.

Why Ax les Thermes leads Ascou · 14.3 pts

Scale+4.6 pts

Snow+3.2 pts

Lift system+3.0 pts

Terrain+2.8 pts

Family & value+0.4 pts

Point contributions reconcile the structural Fit dimensions and confidence-limited current opportunity. Missing evidence is not treated as zero.

Priority sensitivity

The leading resort remains first under moderate one-criterion weighting shifts in the available evidence.

Resort overview

Trip match is profile-specific. Expand the calculation to see exactly how each score is built.

Ax les Thermes

#1 · Ax les Thermes Bonascre · France

Decision69/100

Fit69/100

Now–/100

Quality6.0/10

Reliability6767/100Terrain6969/100

Decision score composition

Fit remains the structural anchor. Current opportunity receives weight only when current evidence is available, covered and fresh; otherwise Decision falls back toward Fit.

Fit68.8100% weight Now–0% weight Decision68.8/100

Structural Fit calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Snow67/100 · 37% evidence 18.3 / 27.3 pts

Terrain73/100 · 52% evidence 18.1 / 25.0 pts

Scale78/100 · 100% evidence 14.1 / 18.2 pts

Lift system39/100 · 68% evidence 6.2 / 15.9 pts

Family & value88/100 · 41% evidence 12.0 / 13.6 pts

AccessNo data excluded

Data coverage: 51%

Current-opportunity calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Fresh snowNo data excluded

Mid-mountain snowNo data excluded

Mountain snowNo data excluded

Open terrainNo data excluded

Snow qualityNo data excluded

Valley snowNo data excluded

Data coverage: 0%

Destination typeFamily progression baseBest useFamily trips · 71/100Snow reliabilityModerateSki area80 km · 966 m verticalCurrent dataUpdated for selected datePeer group50–149 km · Top 2,000–2,799 m

Strengths

Good terrain match · 69/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence..
Good reliability match · 67/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence..

Consider

Lift-system evidence is less convincing.

Ascou

#2 · Ascou Pailheres · France

Decision55/100

Fit55/100

Now–/100

Quality8.5/10

Reliability5555/100Terrain5454/100

Decision score composition

Fit remains the structural anchor. Current opportunity receives weight only when current evidence is available, covered and fresh; otherwise Decision falls back toward Fit.

Fit54.5100% weight Now–0% weight Decision54.5/100

Structural Fit calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Snow55/100 · 37% evidence 15.1 / 27.3 pts

Terrain61/100 · 52% evidence 15.3 / 25.0 pts

Scale52/100 · 100% evidence 9.5 / 18.2 pts

Lift system20/100 · 68% evidence 3.2 / 15.9 pts

Family & value85/100 · 41% evidence 11.6 / 13.6 pts

AccessNo data excluded

Data coverage: 51%

Current-opportunity calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Fresh snowNo data excluded

Mid-mountain snowNo data excluded

Mountain snowNo data excluded

Open terrainNo data excluded

Snow qualityNo data excluded

Valley snowNo data excluded

Data coverage: 0%

Destination typeFamily progression baseBest useFamily trips · 60/100Snow reliabilityMarginalSki area20 km · 578 m verticalCurrent dataUpdated for selected datePeer group<50 km · Top 2,000–2,799 m

Strengths

Solid terrain match · 54/100 — led by strong terrain profile and substantial ski-area scale; partial evidence..
Solid reliability match · 55/100 — led by strong snow resilience; partial evidence..

Consider

Lift-system evidence is less convincing.

Beauvoisin

#3 · · France

Decision–/100

Fit–/100

Now–/100

Quality–/10

Structural Fit calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

AccessNo data excluded

Family & valueNo data excluded

Lift systemNo data excluded

ScaleNo data excluded

SnowNo data excluded

TerrainNo data excluded

Data coverage: 0%

Current-opportunity calculation

Missing evidence is unknown, never zero. Available dimensions are rescaled to 100%; evidence coverage remains visible separately.

Fresh snowNo data excluded

Mid-mountain snowNo data excluded

Mountain snowNo data excluded

Open terrainNo data excluded

Snow qualityNo data excluded

Valley snowNo data excluded

Data coverage: 0%

Destination typeEvidence-limited destinationSnow reliabilityNot availableSki area– · – verticalCurrent dataNo current update

Strengths

The destination remains scoreable, but there is not enough evidence for a strong archetype.

Consider

Some enriched evidence is unavailable; it is excluded from the score rather than treated as zero.

Side-by-side evidence

Detailed comparison

Structural snow resilience uses the multi-winter early/core/late archive after daily de-duplication. Calendar-date rows separately compare current observations with the previous five years. Missing archive evidence remains unknown.

Find column

Scroll horizontally to compare resortsThe attribute column stays visible

Attribute	Ax les ThermesAx les Thermes Bonascre	AscouAscou Pailheres	BeauvoisinFrance
Assessment
Decision score	69/100clear advantage	55/100	–
Structural Fit	69/100clear advantage	55/100	–
Current opportunity	–	–	–
Overall quality	6.0/10	8.5/10clear advantage	–
Recommendation confidence	Low	Low	Low
Ski-area profile
Historical snow reliability	55/100clear advantage	41/100	–
Typical daytime high	7°C	8°C	–
Typical snow/freezing level	–	–	–
Typical overnight low	0°C	-1°C	–
Rating	6.7/10	6.4/10	–
Area size class	50–100 km	20 km or less	–
Ability profile	intermediate	novice	–
Price class	avg	avg	–
Terrain and altitude
Marked pistes	80 kmclear advantage	20 km	–
Lowest point	1,380 m	1,480 m	–
Highest point	2,346 mclear advantage	2,058 m	–
Vertical range	966 mclear advantage	578 m	–
Blue pistes	50%	55%	–
Red pistes	31%	35%	–
Black pistes	19%clear advantage	10%	–
Terrain above 2,000 m	–	–	–
Terrain above 3,000 m	–	–	–
Piste-mix diversity	93/100clear advantage	84/100	–
Slope-angle diversity	–	–	–
Very/extremely steep terrain	–	–	–
Historical context
Historical snow resilience	–	–	–
Typical early-winter mountain depth	–	–	–
Typical core-winter mountain depth	–	–	–
Typical late-winter mountain depth	–	–	–
Snow consistency	–	–	–
Late-winter retention	–	–	–
Lower-mountain retention	–	–	–
Warm-winter resilience	–	–	–
Mountain snow versus typical	–	–	–
Valley snow versus typical	–	–	–
Open slopes versus typical	–	–	–
Current snow
Valley snow	–	–	–
Mid-mountain snow	–	–	–
Mountain snow	–	–	–
Fresh snow	–	–	–
Snow quality	–	–	–
Snow alert	0 cm	0 cm	–
Open terrain and lifts
Open slopes	–	–	–
Open lifts	–	–	–
Lift capacity per piste km	329 pph/km	290 pph/km	–
Lift-system coverage	0.26×	0.19×	–
Terrain per lift	3.8 km/lift	2.9 km/lift	–
Weather
Minimum temperature	-2°C	13°C	–
Maximum temperature	3°C	17°C	–
Suitability and facilities
Family suitability	–	family	–
Piste variety	–	–	–
Off-piste	–	–	–
Cross-country	–	–	–
Lift network	–	–	–
Mountain restaurants	–	–	–
Après-ski	–	–	–
Public transport	–	–	–
Best airport transfer	–	–	–
Skiing per transfer hour	–	–	–

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Decision summary

Ax les Thermes

Ax les Thermes

Resort overview

Ax les Thermes

Ascou

Beauvoisin

Detailed comparison